Research Paper23 September 2026•Asia-Pacific
Thailand’s law-enforcement system presents a striking paradox. Specialist units can be highly capable, adaptive and effective against organised and transnational crime, yet many of the strongest operational results still depend heavily on experienced officers, trusted personal relationships and…
Artificial IntelligenceBangkokCentral Investigation BureauCybercrimeFinancial CrimeFinancial InvestigationsImmigration EnforcementIntelligenceIntelligence-Led PolicingInternational Police CooperationINTERPOLLaw EnforcementOrganised CrimePolice ReformRoyal Thai PoliceScam NetworksSecurity SectorSpecial BranchTransnational Crime
Research Paper21 September 2026•Global / Transnational
Beyond the Fence Line: Protecting Corporate Assets in Austere Environments examines why effective corporate security must extend beyond fences, guards, cameras and alarms. The paper focuses on a common weakness in physical protection: organisations may detect a threat…
Asset ProtectionAustere EnvironmentsBusiness ContinuityContractor RiskCorporate RiskCorporate SecurityCrisis ManagementCritical InfrastructureEmergency ResponseGuard Force ManagementIncident ManagementInsider RiskOperational ResiliencePhysical SecurityRemote OperationsSecurity Risk ManagementSecurity TechnologySite SecuritySupply Chain Security
Research Paper15 September 2026•Asia-Pacific
Modern forces face a fundamental contradiction: concentration remains necessary to generate decisive combat power, but concentration increasingly exposes a force to detection and precision attack. Assembling at the Point of Decision examines how brigades can resolve this problem…
Battlefield TransparencyCombat PowerCombined ArmsCounter-ReconnaissanceDeceptionDistributed OperationsElectronic WarfareISRJungle WarfareLogisticsLymanManoeuvre WarfareMilitary DoctrineMission CommandModern WarfareNight OperationsOperational ArtSustainmentTemporal TerrainUASUkraine War
Research Paper14 September 2026•Global / Transnational
International business travel is often treated as an administrative process: policies are acknowledged, forms completed, insurance confirmed and security briefings issued. But compliance alone does not demonstrate that an organisation has genuinely understood or managed the risks faced…
Business TravelCorporate GovernanceCorporate SecurityCrisis ManagementDuty of CareEmergency PreparednessEmployee SafetyRisk AssessmentRisk ManagementSecurity ComplianceSecurity TechnologySituational AwarenessThreat AssessmentTravel Risk ManagementTravel SecurityTraveller TrackingWorkforce Security
Research Paper10 September 2026•Europe & Eurasia
Persistent surveillance, unmanned systems and increasingly rapid sensor-to-shooter cycles have made manoeuvre far more difficult on the modern battlefield. This follow-on Insight Paper examines how forces can deliberately create temporary local “windows of opacity” by combining counter-reconnaissance, electronic…
Battlefield TransparencyCounter-ISRDecision DenialElectronic WarfareFuture WarfareManoeuvre WarfareMilitary DeceptionMission CommandOperational ArtReconnaissanceUAVs
Research Paper09 September 2026•Asia-Pacific
Persistent surveillance, unmanned systems, commercial satellite imagery and increasingly compressed sensor-to-shooter timelines have made concentration and movement far more vulnerable on the modern battlefield. This Insight Paper argues that manoeuvre warfare is not dead, but that armies must…
A2/ADAutonomous SystemsBattlefield TransparencyCounter-ISRDecision DenialElectronic WarfareFuture WarfareISRManoeuvre WarfareMilitary DeceptionOperational ArtUAVs
Research Paper03 September 2026•Europe & Eurasia
Vladimir Putin still has several potential routes out of the war in Ukraine, but the most favourable may not remain available indefinitely. This Insight Paper examines Russia’s diminishing battlefield returns, Ukraine’s emerging strategy of active defence and selective…
Active DefenceBattlefield AttritionEuropean SecurityGeopoliticsInformation WarfareIntelligence AnalysisLeadership Decision-MakingMilitary StrategyModel Lock-InNATOPeace NegotiationsRussia-Ukraine WarRussian MilitaryStrategic AssessmentStrategic Decision-MakingUkraine WarUkrainian Armed ForcesVladimir PutinWar Termination
Research Paper02 September 2026•Europe & Eurasia
John Mearsheimer is one of the world's most influential international-relations scholars and a leading exponent of offensive realism. His analysis of Russia, NATO and Ukraine has shaped international debate for more than a decade, yet several important assumptions…
Analytical BiasCognitive BiasGeopoliticsIntelligence AnalysisIntelligence FailureIntelligence TrainingOffensive RealismRed TeamingRussia–Ukraine WarStrategic ForecastingStrategic IntelligenceStructured Analysis
Security Update02 September 2026•Europe & Eurasia
Germany’s attribution of the August explosive-drone attack at Leipzig/Halle Airport to Russian state-linked actors marks a significant development in the European hybrid-threat environment. The incident also carries wider implications for airports, energy facilities, logistics hubs, data centres and…
Aviation SecurityCorporate SecurityCounter-UASCritical InfrastructureDrone ThreatHybrid WarfareRussiasabotageSecurity Risk Management
Research Paper31 August 2026•Global / Transnational
This Insight Paper examines how intelligence personnel are recruited, trained and professionally developed across different intelligence communities and considers the analytical blind spots that can persist despite increasingly sophisticated tradecraft. Drawing on examples from Five Eyes, European, Russian,…
Analytical BiasArtificial IntelligenceCognitive BiasCultural IntelligenceDeceptionDisinformationField ExperienceIntelligenceIntelligence AnalysisIntelligence CommunityIntelligence FailureIntelligence ProfessionalisationIntelligence SharingIntelligence TrainingOSINTRegional ExpertiseStrategic WarningStructured Analytical Techniques
Research Paper27 August 2026•Asia-Pacific
Myanmar’s conflict cannot be resolved simply by restoring the pre-2021 political order or pursuing outright military victory. Its deeper roots lie in the unresolved struggle between a powerful central state and ethnic communities seeking meaningful control over their…
ASEANChinaConflict ResolutionDecentralisationEthnic Armed OrganisationsFederalismGovernanceHumanitarian CrisisLaw and OrderMyanmar Civil WarNational Unity GovernmentPeace ProcessPolitical StabilityRegional SecurityRohingyaSCEFSecurity Sector ReformTatmadaw
Research Paper27 August 2026•Global / Transnational
Commercial drones have created an unprotected vertical approach to critical infrastructure, logistics facilities and high-risk corporate sites. This paper examines the evolving threat, the limitations of detection and active countermeasures, and the emerging division of responsibility between companies…
Business ContinuityCorporate SecurityCounter-UASCritical InfrastructureDrone ThreatsHybrid ThreatsInfrastructure ResiliencePhysical SecurityProtective IntelligenceSecurity Risk Management
Security Update26 August 2026•Africa
Nigeria has launched a major security operation following coordinated attacks and a mass abduction in Borgu Local Government Area, Niger State. Although reports that approximately 600 people were taken remain unverified, the incident highlights the growing capability of…
Armed GroupsCross-Border SecurityKainji LakeMass KidnappingNiger StateRescue OperationTerrorismTravel Security
Research Paper24 August 2026•Middle East
This ADG Consult Insight Paper examines Hezbollah’s evolution from a Lebanese Shiite resistance movement into a powerful political, social and military organisation operating alongside—and frequently beyond—the authority of the Lebanese state. It assesses Hezbollah’s leadership, ideology, relationship with…
Axis of ResistanceHezbollahHezbollah DisarmamentIran Proxy NetworkIslamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)Israel–Hezbollah ConflictLebanese Armed Forces (LAF)Lebanese SecurityLebanon PoliticsMiddle East SecurityNon-State Armed GroupsProxy WarfareRegional SecurityState Sovereignty
Research Paper21 August 2026•Asia-Pacific
New Zealand’s defence debate remains centred on maintaining and modernising a traditional military force designed around twentieth-century concepts of national defence, alliance contribution and expeditionary warfare. This Insight Paper challenges that assumption and examines whether a different security…
Research Paper19 August 2026•Europe & Eurasia
Ukraine’s wartime leadership has played a critical role in preserving the state, sustaining military resistance and securing unprecedented international support. However, more than four years after the suspension of normal electoral cycles, growing political pressure is reopening the…
Civil-Military RelationsCorruptionDemocratic InstitutionsElectionsGovernancePolitical RiskPolitical StabilityRussia-Ukraine WarUkraine WarUkrainian PoliticsVolodymyr ZelenskiyWartime Elections
Security Update19 August 2026•Middle East
The strategic balance in the Iran conflict continues to favour the United States as sustained naval and economic pressure increasingly constrains Tehran’s options. Iran retains the ability to conduct missile and drone attacks, but current activity indicates a…
Research Paper17 August 2026•Africa
Africa’s Sahel has become one of the world’s most consequential security and governance challenges. This Insight Paper examines why three decades of counterterrorism operations, foreign intervention and development assistance have failed to produce durable stability across Mali, Burkina…
Security Update14 August 2026•Middle East
The Iran conflict remained firmly in a coercive phase during 8–14 August 2026, with negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz failing to produce meaningful progress and maritime disruption continuing across the Gulf and Red Sea. Iran maintained restrictive…
Economic SanctionsEnergy SecurityGCC SecurityGeopolitical RiskHouthisIran ConflictIRGCMaritime SecurityMiddle EastNaval BlockadeOil and GasRed SeaSaudi ArabiaSecurity IntelligenceStrait of HormuzStrategic AssessmentU.S.–Iran RelationsUAEUnited States
Security Update14 August 2026•Global / Transnational
This week’s ADG Consult Global Security Round-Up covers key geopolitical and security developments from 8–14 August 2026, including escalating maritime pressure around Iran and the Red Sea, continued Russia–Ukraine strikes against critical infrastructure, renewed conflict activity in Sudan…
Security Update13 August 2026•Middle East
The planned withdrawal of remaining U.S. forces from Iraq by 30 September 2026 coincides with Baghdad’s deadline to bring non-state armed groups under government control. This assessment examines the implications of the withdrawal, the challenge of disarming or…
Security Update13 August 2026•Africa
A major gunbattle in Kebbi State on 10 August 2026 left 10 police officers, two civilians and 17 suspected bandits dead, underscoring the persistent threat from armed groups operating across the Kebbi-Zamfara corridor. This Security Update examines the…
Armed ConflictBanditryCorporate SecurityForeign PersonnelKidnappingLakurawaOperational SecurityRisk ManagementRoad MovementSecurity RiskSecurity UpdateTerrorismTravel Security
Security Update12 August 2026•Africa
This security update assesses the 10–11 August 2026 UAV attacks against Libya’s Zawiya refinery and power infrastructure, alongside the car-bomb assassination of Maj. Gen. Fawzy al-Mansouri in Benghazi. The report examines how both incidents reflect Libya’s continued militia…
BenghaziCounter-UAV MeasuresCritical Infrastructure SecurityDrone AttacksEnergy InfrastructureLibya SecurityOil and Gas SecurityOperational SecurityRemote OperationsUAV ThreatZawiya Refinery
Security Update12 August 2026•Middle East
The maritime dimension of the Iran conflict has entered a more dangerous phase following the fatal Houthi attack in the Bab el-Mandeb and increasingly forceful U.S. enforcement of the blockade on Iranian ports. This assessment examines the growing…
Bab el-MandebEnergy SecurityHouthisIran ConflictIran Nuclear ProgrammeMaritime SecurityProxy ConflictRed SeaStrait of HormuzU.S. Blockade
Research Paper11 August 2026•Global / Transnational
This paper examines the growing gap between the speed and volume of modern information and the ability of media organisations, governments and individuals to verify facts accurately. Using examples from military and security reporting, Russia and Ukraine, China,…
ChinaDisinformationGeopoliticsInformation WarfareIntelligence AnalysisJournalismMedia BiasMedia TrustNational SecurityOSINTPropagandaRussia-Ukraine WarSecurity AnalysisSocial MediaVerification
Security Update10 August 2026•Asia-Pacific
Two serious shootings in Nonthaburi Province between 7 and 10 August 2026 have renewed attention on Thailand’s comparatively high level of civilian firearm ownership and the associated security risks. This Security Update examines the Debsirin Nonthaburi School mass…
Corporate SecurityDebsirin Nonthaburi SchoolExpatriate SecurityFirearmsFirearms RiskForeign WorkersGun CrimeGun OwnershipMass ShootingNonthaburiPublic SafetySecurity UpdateThailand Firearms LawWorkplace Security
Security Update10 August 2026•Middle East
This security update assesses the renewed escalation of Houthi missile and drone activity against Saudi Arabia and Yemeni government-controlled areas, including recent attacks on Jazan, Mocha, Marib, Hadramout and Najran. It examines the connection between increased Houthi activity…
Armed ConflictHouthisIran ConflictMaritime SecurityRed Sea
Security Update07 August 2026•Middle East
This assessment examines developments in the Iran conflict from 31 July to 7 August 2026, including continued Iranian restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran–Oman negotiations over a temporary shipping arrangement, the postponement of renewed large-scale U.S. strikes,…
Armed ConflictCritical InfrastructureGeopolitical SecurityIran ConflictMaritime SecurityRegional Security
Security Update07 August 2026•Global / Transnational
A weekly review of significant security and geopolitical developments across the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Asia-Pacific and the Americas. Key developments during the period included severe disruption to Gulf and Red Sea shipping, renewed Houthi and Iranian pressure…
Armed ConflictCivil UnrestGeopolitical SecurityMaritime SecurityNatural HazardsTerrorism
Recommended Viewing06 August 2026
Current affairs and political commentary
Recommended Viewing06 August 2026
Conflict developments and operational updates
Recommended Viewing06 August 2026
Defence economics, military capability and strategic analysis
Recommended Viewing06 August 2026
Selected geopolitical and security analysis
Security Update06 August 2026•Asia-Pacific
Former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina has stated that she intends to return to Bangladesh in December 2026 and surrender to the authorities. This assessment examines the credibility of the proposed return, the potential for political unrest and security-force…
Civil UnrestOperational SecurityPolitical Stability
Security Update05 August 2026•Middle East
Assessment of Syrian military reinforcement on the Iraqi frontier, reported Iranian cross-border activity in Iraqi Kurdistan, limited armour movements in Khuzestan, and the credibility of claims concerning potential ground action against Kuwait.
Armed ConflictGeopolitical SecurityMilitary Activity
Security Update04 August 2026•Asia-Pacific
Assessment of reported physical-security measures at Indonesian commercial properties, the current civil-unrest environment, implications for Jakarta personnel and remote operations, and indicators that could signal deterioration.
Civil UnrestCorporate SecurityPolitical Risk
Research Paper01 August 2026•Asia-Pacific
A detailed examination of cyber-enabled organised crime, scam compounds, cross-border criminal ecosystems and the evolving requirement for coordinated law-enforcement, financial, technology-sector and international responses.
CybercrimeHuman TraffickingLaw EnforcementOrganised Crime
Research Paper01 July 2026•Asia-Pacific
A strategic-policy paper assessing New Zealand’s national interests, economic exposure, alliance relationships and the potential costs and benefits of deeper involvement in AUKUS Pillar II.
AUKUSDefence PolicyGeopoliticsStrategic Competitionstrategic neutrality
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Research papers may express analytical judgements or policy arguments. Security updates are time-sensitive assessments based on information available at the stated publication date. External sources and third-party content remain the responsibility of their original publishers.
