Research Paper

New Zealand, AUKUS, and Strategic Neutrality: The Case for Non-Alignment in an Era of Bloc Competition

A strategic-policy paper assessing New Zealand’s national interests, economic exposure, alliance relationships and the potential costs and benefits of deeper involvement in AUKUS Pillar II.

Research Paper01 July 2026•Asia-Pacific
Asia-PacificAustraliaChinaNew ZealandUnited KingdomUnited StatesAUKUSDefence PolicyGeopoliticsStrategic Competitionstrategic neutrality

This Insight Paper examines New Zealand’s potential participation in AUKUS Pillar II and questions whether deeper integration serves New Zealand’s national interest. It assesses the limited practical benefits available to New Zealand, the country’s economic exposure to China, its existing Five Eyes and defence relationships, and the implications for its independent foreign policy. The paper argues that strategic neutrality and practical non-alignment offer New Zealand greater flexibility while preserving both Western security partnerships and constructive relations with China.

This publication is an analytical assessment based on information available at the publication date. Judgements may change as new information becomes available.