Research Paper

Making the Battlefield Lie: How Armies Get Manoeuvre Back in the Age of Persistent Observation

Persistent surveillance, unmanned systems, commercial satellite imagery and increasingly compressed sensor-to-shooter timelines have made concentration and movement far more vulnerable on the modern battlefield. This Insight Paper argues that manoeuvre warfare is not dead, but that armies must increasingly earn the right to manoeuvre by disrupting, delaying and deceiving the enemy’s reconnaissance and decision-making system. […]

Research Paper09 September 2026•Asia-Pacific
Asia-PacificEurope & EurasiaGlobal / TransnationalGlobalSoutheast AsiaUkraineA2/ADAutonomous SystemsBattlefield TransparencyCounter-ISRDecision DenialElectronic WarfareFuture WarfareISRManoeuvre WarfareMilitary DeceptionOperational ArtUAVs

Persistent surveillance, unmanned systems, commercial satellite imagery and increasingly compressed sensor-to-shooter timelines have made concentration and movement far more vulnerable on the modern battlefield. This Insight Paper argues that manoeuvre warfare is not dead, but that armies must increasingly earn the right to manoeuvre by disrupting, delaying and deceiving the enemy’s reconnaissance and decision-making system. Drawing on lessons from Ukraine, autonomous maritime systems and contrasting environments such as Southeast Asian jungle, the paper develops the concepts of decision denial and temporary “windows of opacity” and examines how future forces can restore surprise, concentration and operational manoeuvre in an increasingly observed battlespace.

This publication is an analytical assessment based on information available at the publication date. Judgements may change as new information becomes available.